Validation of the Prognostic Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) Scoring System of Deceased Donors for Renal Transplantation in the Netherlands.

Background: The prognostic Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI)-developed and internally validated in the US-is a widely-used tool to predict transplant outcome of a deceased donor kidney. The KDRI is currently used for longevity matching between donors and recipients in the US. Methods: We aimed to externally validate the KDRI as proposed by Rao et al, (2009) containing 10 donor factors (KDRIdonor-only) and 1 with 4 additional transplant factors (KDRIfull), with stratification on recipient age and diabetes. We used the Dutch Organ Transplantation Registry to include 3201 adult recipients transplanted from 2002 to 2012. Results: The median Dutch KDRI was 1.21, and comparable with the year 2012 in the US (median of 1.24). The calibration-slope was 0.98 and 0.96 for the KDRIfull and KDRIdonor-only, respectively, indicating that predictions of graft failure were on average similar. The discriminative ability (Harrell's C) of the KDRIfull and the KDRIdonor-only at 5 years was 0.63 (95%CI 0.62-0.64), and 0.62 (95%CI 0.61-0.63), respectively. We found misspecification of 3 KDRI factors: age (p=.002), weight (p=.017), and cold ischemia time (p24h vs 12h, p=.059) could improve predictive ability. Conclusions: The KDRI performs equal in the Dutch population. Discriminative ability of the KDRI indicates limited clinical use for adequate individualized decisions. An updated KDRI may contribute to a standardized policy meeting the growing demand of donor kidneys in the Eurotransplant region. Copyright (C) 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

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